For Some Soldiers the War Never Ends

Very interesting commentary on the Defense Department's use of stop-loss orders and activation of the Individual Ready Reserve.

Captain Exum does a great job of challenging the idea that the current U.S. force is sufficient to meet all of its commitments. This makes a strong case for increasing the size of the permanent force. How exactly the individual branches would do it, I'm not sure.

As far as the idea of a draft goes, I'm not sure that's the best idea for the military threats our country faces today. One idea I'd like to see considered very strongly is a draft for first responders (fire, EMS, police, etc). Because so many of our current reservists leave those positions empty when they get called up, I think it would be wise if those positions could have a steadier stream of incoming personnel.

Gen. Anthony Zinni's Remarks at the Center for Defense Information Board of Directors' Dinner

He lays out a series of excellent ideas to be considered for solving the mess that Iraq has become. If only the current administration would listen ...

Read the whole thing here.


Tax and Drill

Now here's something you don't read every day--a conservative columnist arguing in favor of a gasoline tax.

"[Oil] is now $41 a barrel. We had a golden moment, and we let it pass. The way to lock in our gains then would have been to artificially raise the price of gasoline with a tax that would depress consumption, maintain consumer demand for fuel efficiency and, most important, direct much of the pump price into the U.S. economy (via the U.S. Treasury) rather than having it shipped to Saudi Arabia, Russia and other sundry, less than friendly places."


He details his idea further:

"The idea is for the government -- through a tax -- to establish a new floor for gasoline, say $3 a gallon. If the world price were to rise above $3, the tax would be zero. What we need is anything that will act as a brake on consumption. Since America consumes 45 percent of the world's gasoline, a significant reduction here would bring down the world price."

"But the key is to then keep the tax. Indeed, let it increase to capture all of a price reduction. Consumers still pay $3, but the Saudis keep getting lower and lower world prices. The U.S. economy keeps the rest in the form of taxes -- which should immediately be cycled back to consumers by a corresponding cut in, say, payroll or income taxes. "


If people understood how much of their income was being devoured by payroll taxes, they might not mind gas prices being fixed at $3/gallon if payroll taxes dropped enough. I know I wouldn't. But the real puzzle is how you'd keep the Social Security and Medicare programs solvent if you cut payroll. I suppose that would start arguments about raising the retirement age, means testing, etc.

Read the whole column here.


No Flinching from the Facts

Very well-written column by George Will that touches on the actions at Abu Ghraib, the lead-up to the war, and Donald Rumsfeld's role as secretary of defense. This paragraph in particular describes the entire problem of the war on terror:

The first axiom is: When there is no penalty for failure, failures proliferate. Leave aside the question of who or what failed before Sept. 11, 2001. But who lost his or her job because the president's 2003 State of the Union address gave currency to a fraud -- the story of Iraq's attempting to buy uranium in Niger? Or because the primary and only sufficient reason for waging preemptive war -- weapons of mass destruction -- was largely spurious? Or because postwar planning, from failure to anticipate the initial looting to today's insufficient force levels, has been botched? Failures are multiplying because of choices for which no one seems accountable.


The logical conclusion of Will's argument is that President Bush should hold Rumsfeld accountable. Thus far, he has failed to do so.

Moral Clarity, Courage Needed, Bush Aide Says

From the article: America needs people who have “the moral clarity and courage to do what’s right, regardless of consequence, fashion or fad,” Karl Rove said.

What he said is quite true. It would have been more honest for him to say that the U.S. government needs people with moral clarity and courage. The irony of Karl Rove being the one to say this is readily apparent to anyone who follows the news. In his capacity as Bush’s chief political strategist, he has advocated incredibly dishonest treatment of his boss' opponents, Republican or Democrat. The way Bush campaigned against John McCain was any thing but morally clear and courageous. His current campaign for re-election is no different. Distortions and outright lies about the stands of his opponent and an inability to admit mistakes are anything but morally clear and courageous.

America certainly does need people with moral clarity and courage to do what’s right. But finding such people in our government seems like finding the proverbial needle in a haystack. The best we can hope to do as individuals is to develop these traits ourselves.


Casualty of War

A fascinating piece in GQ about Colin Powell.

How to get out of Iraq

This feature by Peter W. Galbraith makes a compelling case for how the U.S. can extricate itself from the disaster that Iraq has become. Along the way, he does a good job of touching on the positive aspects of this war (namely the removal of Saddam Hussein). To sum up his solution, it is a loose confederation of three separate states, with their own governments, militaries, etc. The only connections between them would be a relatively weak central government and revenue-sharing of oil sales (to prevent the "Sunni triangle", which lacks oil, from being impoverished).
While it is far from the grand Bush vision of Iraq as a democratic example for the Middle East, it would probably be far better than the current situation.

The U.S. reaps a whirlwind in Iraq

This article does a good job of laying out the mistakes that both the U.S. and the UN have made. Especially important is his point that UN involvement won't have the desired effect if they're seen as nothing more than a proxy for U.S. interests.

Iraq duty deters re-enlistment

We can only hope this is a one-time blip instead of a signal of a longer-term problem.

I'm only a civilian, so it's not clear to me why the Army couldn't swap soldiers between Iraq and other bases in Europe or Southeast Asia. While it wouldn't get them all the way home, it would at least get them out of the hot zone so they could decompress before coming home. The long duty has to be grinding these guys down.

Moody's cuts Ciena Corp ratings to B2

This provides perhaps the best summary I've seen anywhere of the current & future prospects of my current employer. The whole firm definitely needs to read it.

Our Last Real Chance

Excellent column by Fareed Zakaria on how the situation in Iraq might be salvaged. Especially interesting is the parallel he creates between the existing militias in Afghanistan and the ones in Iraq. He makes a compelling case that it's a poor policy.

We can only pray that the persistent stubbornness of the officials in charge of this debacle will be broken, before it's too late.

Self-serving Gasoline Complaints

Good column on the current debate over what to do about the high price of gasoline in the US. Not only does he talk about the failure of both major parties to do anything about raising miles-per-gallon standards, he skewers the argument that drilling in ANWR (Arctic National Wildlife Refuge) will reduce our dependence on foreign oil. Some news and commentary on the topic these days points to refinery capacity or the switch to "summer blend" fuel as one cause of price increases. Easterbrook doesn't touch on that, or the patchwork or state laws governing what additives can be put into gasoline. But the miles-per-gallon issue is the most important.

Bush Admits Misleading Nation

April Fools' Day column by Gregg Easterbrook.

Killing Iraq with Kindness

Excellent column on the unintended consequences of armed intervention, even with the best intentions. There is much irony in the author's ability to use France under Napoleon as a historical example of the successes and failures of invasion to promote "universal" ideals.

O'Reilly, O'Franken, oh no! | csmonitor.com

A thoughtful piece that talks about the downsides of "opinion journalism".


Avoiding attacking suspected terrorist mastermind

This story from MSNBC indicates that the White House passed up three opportunities to kill the man they're currently blaming for a lot of the bombings happening in Iraq. I haven't seen this story anywhere else. If it's true, that's very disturbing.

VoIP - Plan A vs Plan B

Article by Clay Shirky on possible outcomes in the voice-over IP market. He includes a service I'd been completely unaware of named Skype that is offering free peer-to-peer voice communication.

Radio Hosts to Pay for Lewdness

I'm not sure how I feel about this. On the one hand, I'm not a Howard Stern fan. But if he didn't break the law or violate his contract, I'm not sure how they can get away with this. Beyond all that, it seems hypocritical to me for Howard Stern to be suspended for a particular remark. Part of his act is skirting the thin line between taste and trash. The Clear Channel stations that carry him have high ratings (and probably a lot of ad revenue) as a result. But I guess there's a lot more hypocrisy going around after the infamous "wardrobe malfunction" at the Super Bowl.

Prosecutor in Terror Case Controversy Sues Ashcroft

This can't be good news. Even with the expanded powers they've received due to the Patriot Act, the government isn't playing by its own rules. Also troubling is the "investigate and smear all our critics" tactic being employed against a federal employee. I wonder if this is just the tip of a very large iceberg.

Secret Report Warns of Iraq "Balkanization"

Financial Times scoop on a secret report indicating fears of Iraq dividing into multiple regions (most likely a Kurdish north, Shia south, and Sunni center). So in addition to not finding nukes, biological weapons, or chemical weapons, and creating a convenient target for anti-American sentiment with the troop presence, the occupation could spark a civil war. I don't think we need any other information to say conclusively that going into Iraq was a really bad idea.